Political Analysis
Op-Ed: Cambodian Bright Future
from: http://ki-media.blogspot.com/2009/11/appointing-thaksin-to-fight-with.html
Dear Readers:
But more dangerous than that is the policy of fighting with each other among Khmers under Hun Sen's leadership. Hun Sen is very smart in fighting with his own Khmer race in order to live his life alone in this tiny land of Khmer Empire. Pol Pot has been blamed about that policy. Now it comes to Hun Sen who can mimic this policy correctly. Hun Sen should utilize international laws and Paris Peace Accord to handle with Thailand, not to closely associate with Thaksin and try to push Sam Rainsy to ally with Abhisit without equating Sam Rainsy's self consensus. Hun Sen is good in taming Sam Rainsy but not good in conducting a proper policy to deal with Thailand and Vietnam regarding our beloved border protection.
While I am jumping to analyze the tension situation between Cambodia and Thailand especially the appointment of Thaksin as Hun Sen's economic adviser, I am expecting that my analysis would be one of the contributions for Cambodian nation, and others will not label me as a "traitor" because of my contradict opinion in appointing fugitive former PM Thaksin as Hun Sen's economic adviser.
First, Cambodian government is putting Cambodian people and her nation into a burning fire. Cambodia has deserved full potential to play role of international diplomacy with Thailand, but why Hun Sen chose "crashing strategy" in this time? Cambodia can use international laws and Paris Peace Accord as means to deal with Thailand and also with Vietnam. But why Cambodia government has never paid attention and utilized this legitimate mean? Why Hun Sen appointed Abhisit's rival as personal economic adviser?
In the meantime, Vietnam will gain both giving hand to help Cambodia to fight with Thailand and sell more products to Cambodian people who are more inclined to consumer than as producer behavior. Undeniably, Vietnamese troops will be sent to help their former alliance Hun Sen and the CPP. More gratitude and sympathy will be appeared among CPP's members and some Cambodian people who are drunken of nationalism of Preah Vihear scheme. More than this, Vietnam's secret intervention to support red shirt to fight with yellow shirt will become more intensified and effective as Vietnamese troops can station along border of Cambodia-Thailand.
Second, appointing Thaksin is like slapping incumbent PM Abhisit. The question is that it is good or bad to publicly slap Abhisit like a comedian without having proper plan to deal with the border issue? Or Hun Sen is expecting to get that land back during appointing Thaksin or what? I think it is too fast and very fool to assume that Thaksin, Chavalit and Abhisit are fighting with each other because of border conflict with Cambodia. If we use history as evidence, we have seen that both Thai and Vietnamese have played double standard game to lure Khmers into their trap. Finally their national interests are the most priority. We have had huge evidence in hand that only Khmers who have fought each others in centuries but ceded land to foreigners. Or we can say more Khmers are fighting with each others, more death and land lost occurred; but more Thais and Vietnamese are fighting with each other more progressive and land gained occurred to their nation. With this evidence, has Hun Sen realized this? And what Hun Sen's vision to gain land for Cambodia?
Third, ASEAN and UNs will support Cambodia if Cambodia utilize national laws to deal with Thailand. Thailand has already expressed their concern and disgrace if Cambodia plan to use that international laws especially Paris Peace Agreement to deal with them of border issue. But ASEAN, UNs and international communities dare not support Cambodia in appointing Thaksin as economic adviser to confront with another rival of Thailand. More than this, Abhisit government is more released and happier than before now.
Fourth, appointing Thaksin as Hun Sen's adviser is absolutely appeared as "internal interference". Cambodia should not try to deny this actual allegation. Cambodia has to do more research to seek that when two rivals in their country are fighting with each other, and we gives guns and supplies to one opponent publicly, what act should we name ourselves? Retaliations have happened among this public support to one rival to fight with another. This is not a stage of boxing match or football court. It is lives and blood of innocent people. We have huge evidence to show what happened to such act. America tried/sentenced Saddam to death, may be not because of Saddam's dictatorship and violence, it surely demonstrated that it is because of America who grasped that Saddam supported terrorists to bomb and eliminate America. This happened as well in Cambodia. America supported Lon Nol to topple N. Sihanouk and neglected the atrocity in Cambodia was because of N.Sihanouk who allowed north Vietnamese troops to deliver their force and supplies in Cambodia land to eliminate America. The current situation that Hun Sen has developed his international politics with Thailand might be very similar or the same. Finally Cambodian people will be the victims, not Hun Sen and his colleagues.
Fifth, the most important impression for political analysts and scholars regarding Hun Sen's political move with Thailand is the suspect on "conflict of interest between Vietnam and Thailand" in using their hegemony over Cambodia. There are many failures that Thailand has accepted in securing their friendship with Cambodia. Frequently, more conflict Thailand has made with Cambodia, more loss of interests Thailand has to give away to Vietnam. For instance, the burning of Thai embassy in Phnom Penh is a slap on the face, but in order to normalize its relations with Cambodia, Thailand can accept millions of dollar as compensation/reconstructing their embassy back. In that time, Cambodian police authority have not been charged of neglecting its duty. But Cambodian people money has to use to pay back to Thailand. Cambodia gained some from that burning fever, but Cambodia lost its face in the international stage of diplomacy and million of dollars should be used to reduce Cambodian poverty. Interestingly, Vietnam can increase its hegemony over Cambodia more than Thailand.
In the meantime, Vietnam will gain both giving hand to help Cambodia to fight with Thailand and sell more products to Cambodian people who are more inclined to consumer than as producer behavior. Undeniably, Vietnamese troops will be sent to help their former alliance Hun Sen and the CPP. More gratitude and sympathy will be appeared among CPP's members and some Cambodian people who are drunken of nationalism of Preah Vihear scheme. More than this, Vietnam's secret intervention to support red shirt to fight with yellow shirt will become more intensified and effective as Vietnamese troops can station along border of Cambodia-Thailand.
History has repeated again and again about the fool policy of Cambodian leaders in fighting with Thailand, Vietnam come to support and ceded some land as dowry to Vietnam.
But more dangerous than that is the policy of fighting with each other among Khmers under Hun Sen's leadership. Hun Sen is very smart in fighting with his own Khmer race in order to live his life alone in this tiny land of Khmer Empire. Pol Pot has been blamed about that policy. Now it comes to Hun Sen who can mimic this policy correctly. Hun Sen should utilize international laws and Paris Peace Accord to handle with Thailand, not to closely associate with Thaksin and try to push Sam Rainsy to ally with Abhisit without equating Sam Rainsy's self consensus. Hun Sen is good in taming Sam Rainsy but not good in conducting a proper policy to deal with Thailand and Vietnam regarding our beloved border protection.
What a misfortune gene of Cambodian leaders?
In Solidarity
KY
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